RomRealty

Tag: immigration to Canada

  • Should You Buy or Wait?

    Should You Buy or Wait?

    It is hard to believe January is already over. Is it my age, or is everyone feeling the time is going by faster?

    As the market is slower everywhere it is important to reach out to Buyers. Buyers have the impression not to buy or do the wait and see approach… sitting on the fence.  

    Is this a good time to buy real estate? I often get this asked. The answer is Yes!

    Rate-sensitive markets like real estate have fallen over 20% depending on the individual market due interest rates increases and inflation. But this is still an excellent opportunity for investors and new home buyers to take advantage of much lower real estate prices despite the current higher mortgage rates. It’s worth noting that despite much higher rates with lower purchase values, the monthly payments in many cases are very similar. Either you pay top dollars in a high market, 100,000+ more with a lower interest rate, or purchase a property much lower, with higher interest rates.

    Example:

    Taking the average Canadian sold price, a buyer today would save almost $160,000 on the down payment despite having a higher monthly payment of $257.

    With a short-term rate strategy, this buyer can lock in a 1-2 year fixed rate to ride out the current rate cycle and then be in a position to renew/refinance at future lower rates.

    Whereas waiting until rates come down, we could see real estate values return to growth, which would mean higher down payment requirements and more competition.

  • Rom’s July Real Estate Stats & Opinion

    Rom’s July Real Estate Stats & Opinion

    Okanagan Real Estate Report July 2021

    Rom’s Real Estate Opinion

    The market is progressing exactly in the direction that we anticipated. Things are settling down but definitely not crashing.

    Think of the market in the last year as something like a Chicken Little scenario from the 1943 Disney Movie. For the last 6 months the market has been running around with his hands waving in the air screaming and yelling that the sky is falling. In other words, the absorption was ridiculously high, the inventory was ridiculously low, monthly sales we’re breaking all historical records and price increases we’re breaking all historical records.

    What’s happening now is Chicken Little is settling down. The absorption in the Central Okanagan (Peachland to Lake Country) has now dropped to between 40 and 50%. The inventory is still very low and sales have dropped to a reasonable level. However, let’s keep this in perspective. Absorption between 40 and 50% is still off the charts for our area. A balanced Market is considered to be 12 to 18% depending on which expert you listen to. Below 12% indicates that you can expect price decreases and it is also considered a strong buyer’s market. Above 18% is considered a seller’s market and you can expect price increases with this level of absorption. 40% is a long way above 18%…

    Where is the market going to go from here and why?

    What has to change in order for prices and sales to drop dramatically? If we look at the inventory for July 2021 and compare this with inventory levels in July 2020 and 2019 then this July inventory level is less than half the other 2 year averages.  Although over time inventory levels will typically gradually increase as more houses will be built, more construction and development. However, in order for the market to change dramatically to even approach a balanced Market the inventory has to increase dramatically; likely more than double. Is this going to happen? This is the big question.  We will not get rid of multiple offers on the same property until that inventory increases. That is just basic logic. 

    Conclusion

    I think we will see this present direction of the inventory, absorption and sales start to level off at these relatively higher levels. The market has settled down from its Chicken Little level to its “normal” place in the regular cycle. 

    If you would like to find out what your home is really worth in a market like this give me a call or text me at 250-317-6405 and I would be happy to evaluate your home. It can be done completely remotely if you prefer. It is totally free.  As always have to remember that’s just the Real Estate World according to Rom.

  • Rom’s May Real Estate Stats & Opinion

    Rom’s May Real Estate Stats & Opinion

    Okanagan Real Estate Report May 2021

    Rom’s Real Estate Opinion

    There is a very tiny crack in the foundation of the Real Estate market in the Okanagan right now. Sales are actually down in the Kelowna area. If you look back over the years there is almost always an increase in sales from April to May. The tiny crack continues into the absorption rate (the amount of sales versus the amount of listings at any time). There is almost always an increase in absorption from April to May; this year it is actually down.

    One of the phrases that I use in real estate is “A month does not make a market”. In other words this may just be a slight downward blip. If this is a real trend, it will continue for at least the next few months. I do believe this is what we will see. There will be a slight flattening of the market in the next few months but it will hardly be noticeable.

    There are 2 possibilities to explain this change. First, the market is starting a minor (or major!) correction. We have peaked and will start to see things settle down. Second, the market is “too good”. We saw this happen in 2007. The demand is so high and the supply is so low that sales are decreasing because people have nothing to buy. In my ever so humble opinion it is a combination of the two.

    The market was so ridiculously hot that it could not sustain itself. It was inevitable that it was going to slow down at least to light speed. Many Realtors are saying that their buyers are saying “I give up”. They have been disappointed so many times making offers on houses and losing out to other buyers. Some buyers have decided not to make their move until the market slows a bit and there is more inventory to choose from.

    Conclusion

    Personally, I am glad to see this crack in the foundation. The market was super hyper.  It was no fun telling my buyers to go into a multiple offer battle, $50,000 over list and still have no chance of getting the property they want. It needed a bit of a time out.

    If you would like to find out what your home is really worth in a market like this give me a call or text me at 250-317-6405 and I would be happy to evaluate your home. It can be done completely remotely if you prefer. It is totally free.  As always have to remember that’s just the Real Estate World according to Rom.

  • Rom’s March Okanagan Real Estate Stats & Opinion

    Okanagan Real Estate Report March 2021

    Rom’s Real Estate Opinion

    Imagine in any given market, statistics were so off the charts that an experienced analyst says, “It must be a typo”. In March the absorption in the Central Okanagan was 99.76%! What does that mean? In March, virtually all houses that were on the market at the beginning of the month, were sold by the end of the month.  That is truly unbelievable.
    The average DOM (Days on Market to sell) in the Central Okanagan was 33 days. That is less than half of the 10 year average. The average sale price in March in Kelowna was $160,000 higher than the average sale price of the last 12 months. That does not mean prices have gone up that much. I had one Realtor tell me that he believes the market is rising $10,000 per month. There is no question, the Okanagan paradise we live in is no longer a secret.

    What does this all really mean to consumers and Realtors?

    People think we as Realtors must be having a heyday. In fact, I don’t think I have ever seen Realtors so frustrated. Almost all Realtors care deeply about their clients. They work hard to write offers that are legal and enforceable and with clauses to protect their clients, only to lose out to a higher bid over and over. Naturally, that is very frustrating for buyers and Realtors.
    One way to get an advantage for a buyer is to write an offer with no conditions on it. When the seller signs the offer the house is sold which gives that particular buyer an advantage over one with conditions. The problem is there are risks involved. A good Realtor will explain those risks in detail but at the end of the day buyers are looking for any way to create an advantage  for their offer. If you are a buyer in this crazy market be sure you understand the possible worst case scenarios if you make this type of offer. It does not mean that you should or should not make an offer like this. I personally have done it many times. It simply means you have to be informed, prepared and comfortable with the risks. Real Estate environments like this have been historically common in cities like Vancouver and Toronto but it is new here.

    Final Thoughts

    People are moving here in droves and there is no indication that this is going to let up any time soon. Our job is not to tell buyers what to do. It is to make sure they understand all their options, all the risks involved in those options and then take instructions from our clients. As a buyer you must move fast in this market to get the house you want. Pay attention to your Realtor, listen to their advice, make an informed decision and then act and act fast if you want to get a step up on all the other numerous buyers that are likely looking at the same property.

    If you would like to find out what your home is really worth in a market like this give me a call or text me at 250-317-6405 and I would be happy to evaluate your home or it can be done completely remotely if you prefer. It is totally free.  As always, this is just the Real Estate World according to Rom.

  • Rom’s October Okanagan Real Estate Stats and Update

    Rom’s October Okanagan Real Estate Stats and Update

    Kelowna Real Estate Report October 2020

     

    Rom’s Monthly Real Estate Opinion

    Brrr… we got our first glimpse of winter this past month here in the beautiful Okanagan. Even with our first snow fall, the real estate market has not gone into hibernation.

    If we didn’t know better we would have to conclude that the best thing to happen to the Real Estate market across this country is a global pandemic.  In October the absorption rate for Central Okanagan was at 53%. What that means is that in the Central Okanagan 53% of the entire residential inventory was sold in October. These are figures usually reserved for Toronto and Vancouver when they are booming. To give you another perspective, a balanced market is considered somewhere around 12 to 18%. This gives you an idea of how much of a seller’s market this is.
    This market will start to slow down as we get into November and December because of the winter weather and the holidays. It slows down every year at this time. It’s in extreme markets like this that REALTORS show their value. It takes a well trained REALTOR to figure out what a house is worth in a market like this but also how to write an offer in a market like this and actually get the house for their buyer.

    Where are buyers coming from?

    Where our buyers are coming from is changing. We are seeing an increase in buyers from Alberta, from the Coast and from other areas of the world. The Okanagan is no longer a secret.  I believe we will see a dramatic increase in buyers from major cities like Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary and Toronto into the Okanagan region. Right now that is just a prediction but soon we will have the data to reveal the reality.
    As always, please remember this is just the Real Estate World according to Rom. Get out and enjoy the beauty of late Fall in Kelowna!
  • Rom’s Real Estate Opinion & Stats August 2020

    Rom’s Real Estate Opinion & Stats August 2020

    Kelowna Real Estate Report August 2020

    Rom’s Monthly Real Estate Opinion

    What a whirlwind summer it has been for Okanagan Real Estate!  The market continues at a record-breaking pace.

    Looking at the stats for this month, remember that low inventory is the sign of a robust real estate market, not the opposite! Some of the stats we look at have never been this robust and some we would have to go back years to find a comparable level.

    There is a lot of speculation from realtors, investors, buyers and sellers as to what is going to happen in the near future. Most people think that when the government subsidies go away, the real estate market is going to soften or collapse. However, a market never responds to one force. 

    Multiple positive forces also pushing on the marketplace in the Okanagan! We have dramatically increased migration from Alberta and the Lower Mainland, there are some of the lowest interest rates in history, very low inventory (which pushes up price!), and the back-log demand created from the drop in sales from COVID-19 in April/May.

    Stats to consider

    Each year the market softens in the fall, so some may anticipate the market turning down. However, when we compare August 2020 to August 2019 stats, it tells a positive, robust story. Residential sales for August decreased slightly to 1,034 compared to July’s 1,094 total units sold across the region yet remained up compared to this time last year by 43%, reports the Okanagan Mainline Real Estate Board (OMREB).

    I believe that we are in a fairly robust market for a while to come still.  The one change we cannot predict, is if COVID-19 cases were to dramatically increase that shuts our market down again.  However, I don’t think this is going to happen again.

    As always. please remember this is just the Real Estate World according to Rom. Get out there and enjoy the beautiful Okanagan Fall season!
  • Rom’s Real Estate Opinion & Stats June 2020

    Rom’s Real Estate Opinion & Stats June 2020

    Kelowna Real Estate Report June 2020

    Rom’s Monthly Real Estate Opinion

    Below you will find the ‘benchmark’ prices for properties. This provides us with a much better idea of the current market rather than using ‘average’ or ‘median’ prices.  ALL property prices (Condo’s, Townhomes and Single Family), went UP compared to June 2019.  
    Despite the Pandemic, the real estate market is active and properties are selling. Moreover, the market has bounced back to an astounding level. It is right back to where we thought it would get to before COVID-19 hit. There is no algorithm for the effects of COVID-19 on the Okanagan Real Estate market. World renowned economists really don’t have any idea either. 
    In Kelowna, the absorption rate for June was 24.39%. This means that 24.39% of all residential inventory in the Central Okanagan sold in June!  It hasn’t been that high since April 2018. There were 261 residential sales in June in the Central Okanagan. That is the highest number of sales since July 2017.

    So, what is going on?

    How can the market be flourishing when unemployment has shot up and the GDP has shot down? There are 2 factors creating this.
    First, banks and governments have stepped up hugely. The pandemic did take eligible buyers out of the market. However, every time the interest rates dropped another fraction of a percentage point, multiple new buyers were now able to buy. Remember, the market is driven by the buyers. There was also a backlog of buyers who were ready to purchase but were waiting out the Pandemic.  Since we entered phase 3 here in BC, consumer confidence returned and therefore real estate activity spiked.
    Second, the market and the economy are not doing well in Alberta. Edmonton seems to be doing slightly better than Calgary but they are both hurting because of COVID-19 effects and the bust of the petro-chemical industry. This is driving some to pull that retirement trigger earlier than previously planned and move to the Okanagan. 
    Please remember this is just the world according to Rom.
  • FOR SALE: Condo in Kelowna’s Cultural District!

    FOR SALE: Condo in Kelowna’s Cultural District!

    FOR SALE: 315-1331 ELLIS STREET, KELOWNA, BC$418,800

    NEW LISTING!

    Beautiful and spacious two bedroom, two full bath condo in the heart of Kelowna’s downtown cultural district! Abundant natural light from large windows and 10’ ceilings fills the condo. The loft windows of sunrise views over Black Mountain and Knox Mountain. The split floorplan places both large bedrooms on either side of the main living area to create more privacy and great rental potential.

    The condo has been freshly painted and there is new vinyl plank flooring installed in the main living areas and both bathrooms. Other upgrades include a “silent” Bosch dishwasher and new hot water tank. The large patio with gas hookup provides for a relaxing outdoor living space.

    Perfect location in the downtown core only steps away from coffee shops, restaurants, shopping and events. Only one block away from the beautiful lakeshore and all the water sports and beach amenities that Kelowna has to offer!

    For more details, please contact Rom Houtstra at 250-317-6405 or email him at rom@romrealty.com.

  • Rom’s Kelowna Real Estate Opinion January 2020

    Rom’s Kelowna Real Estate Opinion January 2020

    Kelowna Real Estate Opinion for Jan 2020

    We are well into the swing of things for 2020. I hope you are continuing on with any resolutions and visions you set for yourself for 2020! It’s never too late to get back on track. For this months opinion, I will start off with a couple of real estate definitions:

    • Market Correction: A downward trend with prices, absorption and sales reducing, and inventory and DOM (days on market to sell) increasing
    • Market Recovery: An upward trend with prices, absorption and sales increasing, and inventory and DOM (days on market to sell) decreasing

    One of the important differences when comparing the Real Estate Market to the Stock Market is that the Stock Market is global and the Real Estate Market is local. The old phrase, “location, location, location” is not only important in real estate.  It causes a lot of misunderstandings with ‘experts’ who try to predict the Real Estate Market (including a lot of realtors). The press will grab onto anything that looks radical in the market. Then they report without a lot of reference to the relevance of the information or the differences in the various locations. The problem is that the public gobbles up whatever the press feeds them. This problem is relevant in the Real Estate statistics in the Okanagan right now.

    Current Okanagan Situation

    Currently, when we look at the statistics, the Okanagan is in recovery mode. Around the third quarter of 2019, it started to shift from a slight correction to a slight recovery. Here in the Central Okanagan, there was a bit of a lag for the last couple of years.  We have a larger economy than some surrounding markets. Therefore, it was building up rebound pressure. We are now seeing a positive market bounce back! It will be interesting to watch as we proceed through 2020 if this trend continues. I expect big markets like Vancouver and Toronto will continue to recover.  This means for the Okanagan that we will be in a very gradual recovery trend for the next couple years.

    As always, this is just the Real Estate World according to Rom.

  • Emigration Expo 2020

    Emigration Expo 2020

    Emigration Expo 2020 in The Netherlands!

    I am excited to share that I will once again have at booth at the Emigration Expo in Europe! This is a great opportunity to go overseas and promote the amazing lifestyle we live here in Kelowna. Do you have a home or business for sale and want to promote it internationally? Contact me today and we can set up a meeting to discuss.

    What is the Emigration Expo?

    The Emigration Expo is held on February 8 and 9, 2020. With about 11,000 visitors, the Emigration Expo is Europe’s largest event for emigrants, expats, job seekers, entrepreneurs and anyone else looking to live abroad. The Emigration Expo is about information, orientation and doing business. There are 3 halls with an area of 12,000m² and about 200 exhibitors and free lectures and presentations. The Emigration Expo is a must for everyone planning to move abroad, temporarily or permanently.

    My sister, Pauline and I, in front of my booth at the Emigration Expo in 2019.

    Do you want a FREE ticket to the Emigration Expo?

    The first 50 people to click here can get a free ticket to the Expo! Let me know if you will be attending, I would love to see you there!  My booth number is #230 in Hall 2.

    Do you want more information for immigration, live and work in Canada? Please fill out the form here and I will contact you shortly.